Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 28.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.08%).