MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 06:56:48| >> :60:140:140:
Columbus Crew
Leagues Cup | Semi-Finals
Aug 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Lower.com Field
Philadelphia Union

Columbus Crew
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Rossi (12', 43'), Camilo Hernandez (53')
Zawadzki (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gazdag (32')
Bueno (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Leagues Cup clash between Columbus Crew and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, August 17 at 11pm in Leagues Cup

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Leagues Cup
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Mazatlan (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: Columbus Crew 1-0 Philadelphia Union

 This is usually the stage where we see the Union struggle, and facing a side as balanced as the Crew, we do not believe the visitors have enough firepower to advance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 14.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawPhiladelphia Union
67.53% (0.052000000000007 0.05) 18.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 14.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.62% (0.043999999999997 0.04)37.38% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.41% (0.047000000000004 0.05)59.59% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.82% (0.024000000000001 0.02)10.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.58% (0.055999999999997 0.06)33.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)38.9% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.37% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)75.63% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 67.52%
    Philadelphia Union 14.1%
    Draw 18.37%
Columbus CrewDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.87% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 67.52%
1-1 @ 8.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.37%
1-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 14.1%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia

Columbus Crew
74.4%
Draw
14.0%
Philadelphia Union
11.6%
43
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
1-1
Philadelphia
Camilo Hernandez (72' pen.)
Amundsen (67'), Camilo Hernandez (84')
Harriel (50')
Lowe (52'), Elliott (71'), Wagner (72')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Columbus Crew
> Preview
Jul 4, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
0-0
Philadelphia
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
1-0
Columbus Crew
Room (2' og.)
Sullivan (79')

Moreira (66')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 36
Philadelphia
3-0
Columbus Crew
Elliott (25'), Bedoya (46'), Flach (89')
Wagner (35'), Powell (74'), Santos (77')
Wagner (64')

Santos (66')
> Preview
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