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FC Cincinnati
Leagues Cup | Round of 16
Aug 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Cincinnati
2 - 4
Philadelphia

Bucha (66'), Yedlin (80')
Robinson (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uhre (52'), Baribo (61', 81'), Sullivan (84')
Wagner (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Leagues Cup clash between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 2-0 Montreal
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Philadelphia Union (Philadelphia advances on penalties)

Even though they are undefeated in the Leagues Cup this year, the Orange and Blue have yet to perform well for 90 minutes, and we believe the experience of the Union and their recent strong form will propel them into the quarter-finals by a thin margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
62.13%20.05%17.81%
Both teams to score 57.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.13%37.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.88%60.12%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.29%11.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.19%36.81%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38%34.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66%71.34%
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 62.13%
    Philadelphia Union 17.81%
    Draw 20.05%
FC CincinnatiDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 7.07%
3-0 @ 6.67%
4-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.75%
4-0 @ 3.58%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.63%
5-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 62.13%
1-1 @ 9.22%
2-2 @ 5.25%
0-0 @ 4.05%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.05%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-1 @ 4.3%
0-2 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 17.81%

Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 12.45am
Cincinnati
4-3
Philadelphia
Kelsy (29'), Acosta (49' pen., 90+10'), Orellano (60')
Keller (6')
Baribo (43', 90+1'), Bueno (55')
Wagner (12'), Elliott (12'), McGlynn (81')
Nov 26, 2023 1am
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-2
Cincinnati
Andres Martinez (23'), Gazdag (37' pen.)
Elliott (19'), Gazdag (21'), Lowe (42'), Carranza (63'), Wagner (74'), Baribo (85')
Elliott (90+4')
Boupendza (49'), Vazquez (76')
Miazga (18'), Celentano (35'), Mosquera (36'), Hagglund (45+4')
Mosquera (83')
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
Oct 21, 2022 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Philadelphia
1-0
Cincinnati
Flach (59')
rhs 2.0
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