MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:36:21| >> :60:453:453:
Inter Miami
Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 9, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Toronto FC

Inter Miami
4 - 3
Toronto

Rojas (3', 59'), Gomez (11'), Suarez (20')
Cremaschi (84')
Martinez (28')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Insigne (15' pen., 41' pen.), Allen (79' og.)
Laryea (43'), Wingo (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Leagues Cup clash between Inter Miami and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Toronto
Monday, August 5 at 1am in Leagues Cup

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Toronto

While Messi's presence can make a massive difference, Miami are not a one-trick pony, and we believe they will find a way to edge past Toronto without their captain like they have several times in 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
53.56% (0.143 0.14) 22.08% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 24.35% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.89% (-0.301 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (-0.307 -0.31)38.4% (0.307 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-0.327 -0.33)60.69% (0.325 0.32)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)14.41% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.67% (-0.116 -0.12)42.33% (0.115 0.12)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (-0.3 -0.3)28.85% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (-0.372 -0.37)64.71% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 53.56%
    Toronto 24.36%
    Draw 22.08%
Inter MiamiDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 53.56%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 24.36%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Toronto

Inter Miami
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Toronto
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
Inter Miami
3-1
Toronto
Gomez (43'), Redondo (53', 59')
Redondo (62'), Fray (87')
Etienne (80')
Etienne (52')
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 12.30am
Aug 21, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
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