MX23RW : Monday, September 9 15:37:12| >> :60:1723:1723:
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 5, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Hidalgo
Toronto FC

Pachuca
1 - 2
Toronto

Idrissi (59')
Pablo Saldivar (5'), Barreto (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Etienne (44'), Franklin (78')
Gomis (59'), Longstaff (90+4'), Osei Owusu (90+2'), Longstaff (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Leagues Cup clash between Pachuca and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 NY Red Bulls (0-0 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 1am in Leagues Cup

We said: Pachuca 0-1 Toronto

Given what is at stake here, we are expecting a cautious game with neither side committing too much in attack. That said, we are tipping Toronto to narrowly pip Pachuca to all three points and send them packing from the Leagues Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawToronto
63.68% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 19.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 16.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 58.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.53% (0.035000000000004 0.04)36.47% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.38% (0.036999999999999 0.04)58.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.11% (0.013000000000005 0.01)10.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.98% (0.027999999999992 0.03)35.02% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.019000000000005 0.02)34.79% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (0.022000000000002 0.02)71.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 63.68%
    Toronto 16.9%
    Draw 19.41%
PachucaDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 6.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 63.68%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.41%
1-2 @ 4.68%
0-1 @ 4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 16.9%

How you voted: Pachuca vs Toronto

Pachuca
37.5%
Draw
20.8%
Toronto
41.7%
24
rhs 2.0
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