Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 22, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario
Pumas2 - 0Pachuca
We said: Pumas 1-0 Pachuca
These are two evenly matched sides, but Pumas have shown tremendous resilience this season, which should give them a psychological edge on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
Result | ||
Pumas | Draw | Pachuca |
38.11% ( 0.03) | 26.28% ( -0) | 35.6% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.57% ( -0) | 51.43% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.76% ( 0) | 73.24% ( -0) |
Pumas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% ( 0.02) | 26.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% ( 0.02) | 61.44% ( -0.02) |
Pachuca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% ( -0.02) | 27.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% ( -0.03) | 63.34% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Pumas 38.11%
Pachuca 35.6%
Draw 26.27%
Pumas | Draw | Pachuca |
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.6% |
How you voted: Pumas vs Pachuca
Pumas
86.7%Draw
13.3%Pachuca
0.0%15
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 4.15am
Pachuca
0-0
Pumas
(Aggregate 0-0 | Pumas win 5-3 on penalties)
Mar 19, 2023 6pm
Jul 25, 2022 1am
Gameweek 4
Pachuca
0-0
Pumas
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-21 17:00:23
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 27 | 42 |
2 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 35 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 34 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 31 |
5 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 29 |
8 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
10 | Atlas | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
11 | Club Leon | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 17 |
13 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 14 |
15 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 14 |
16 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 |
17 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 10 |
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