Due to their fine form and mental toughness under head coach Wilfried Nancy, Columbus Crew can upset hosts Pachuca and succeed Leon as CONCACAF club champions. The MLS side have proven they will not wilt on Mexican soil - even if altitude must be a factor - while their opponents have essentially been inactive for three weeks and may suffer from some rustiness. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Columbus Crew
44.56% ( -0.09)	23.99% ( -0.03)	31.45% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 59.93% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.78% (

0.18)

42.22% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.37% (

0.18)

64.63% (

-0.17)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.83% (

0.03)

19.17% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.16% (

0.05)

50.84% (

-0.05)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

0.17)

25.86% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.17% (

0.22)

60.83% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 44.56%

Columbus Crew 31.45%

Draw 23.98%

Pachuca	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 44.56%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98%	1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.45%