Having recorded just two clean sheets across their last nine years of action, Sao Tome have struggled defensively and Liberia will be aiming to take advantage. We expect an end-to-end affair here with the visitors just about coming out on top in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liberia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liberia.
0.05) 
-0) 
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