Eq Guinea1 - 0Liberia
Ernest (64')
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, September 9 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-0 Liberia
Neither team is in good scoring form coming into this one, and a drab affair could be on the cards here. Having said that, we are tipping Equatorial Guinea to come out on top in front of their fans at the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest Liberia win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Liberia |
44.76% ( -0.08) | 27.62% ( 0.03) | 27.62% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.33% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
