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Equatorial Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio de Bata
Liberia national football team

Eq Guinea
vs.
Liberia

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Equatorial Guinea and Liberia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Monday, September 9 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Liberia 0-3 Algeria
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Liberia has a probability of 28.1% and a draw has a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Liberia win is 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.01%).

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawLiberia
43.95%27.96%28.1%
Both teams to score 45.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.18%59.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9%80.1%
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93%27.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56%62.44%
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.65%37.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87%74.13%
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 43.95%
    Liberia 28.1%
    Draw 27.95%
Equatorial GuineaDrawLiberia
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 8.5%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 28.1%

Head to Head
Nov 20, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Liberia
0-1
Eq Guinea

Kenneh (27')
Kenneh (45')
Nsue (9')
Miranda (38'), Salvador (52'), Owono (80')
rhs 2.0
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