MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:50:56| >> :600:1055859:1055859:
Togo national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Kegue
Liberia national football team

Togo
1 - 1
Liberia

Denkey (79')
Dakonam (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
W (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Togo and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Togo
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Liberia
Sunday, June 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Togo 1-0 Liberia

Liberia have put together a fine run of results since the turn of the year and will fancy their chances against Togo who have failed to win their last four competitive matches. However, the Sparrow Hawks' home advantage gives them a slight upper hand here and we are tipping them to come away with a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
TogoDrawLiberia
49.25% (0.213 0.21) 27.83% (-0.143 -0.14) 22.92% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 42.05% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.6% (0.399 0.4)62.4% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.97% (0.29 0.29)82.03% (-0.292 -0.29)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.286 0.29)25.6% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (0.388 0.39)60.49% (-0.39 -0.39)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.52% (0.163 0.16)43.48% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (0.137 0.14)79.69% (-0.139 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Togo 49.24%
    Liberia 22.92%
    Draw 27.83%
TogoDrawLiberia
1-0 @ 15.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.69% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.13% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.26% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 22.92%

How you voted: Togo vs Liberia

Togo
38.1%
Draw
28.6%
Liberia
33.3%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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