Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2023 at 2pm UK

Kazakhstan
3 - 2
Denmark

Zainutdinov (73' pen.), Tagybergen (86'), Aymbetov (89')
Aymbetov (90'), Shatskiy (90+4')
Aymbetov (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hojlund (21', 35')
Hojlund (90+3'), Hojlund (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Kazakhstan and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 23 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Denmark

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Denmark 3-1 Finland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

We said: Kazakhstan 1-2 Denmark

All four previous matches between these nations have ended in the same outcome; victory for Denmark - with Kazakhstan sitting 98 places below their imminent visitors, there is not a great deal of evidence to suggest their losing streak in this fixture will come to an end on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 65.93%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 14.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Denmark
14.11% ( 0.17)	19.96% ( 0.08)	65.93% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 49.28% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.26% (

0.03)

44.74% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.9% (

0.02)

67.1% (

-0.03)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.46% (

0.27)

43.54% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.26% (

0.23)

79.74% (

-0.23)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.29% (

-0.07)

12.71% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.06% (

-0.13)

38.94% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 14.11%

Denmark 65.92%

Draw 19.96%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Denmark
1-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.42% Total : 14.11%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.96%	0-2 @ 11.77% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.1% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.17% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 65.92%