Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for AZ had a probability of 4.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 24.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (21.31%) and 3-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.52%), while for an AZ win it was 0-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.