Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 2

Sep 28, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
4 - 1
Parma

Soriano (16', 30'), Skov Olsen (56'), Palacio (90+1')
Sansone (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernani (67')
Kucka (60'), Laurini (70')
Iacoponi (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Parma
54.44%	24.08%	21.47%

Both teams to score 50.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.64%

50.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.7%

72.29%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.6%

18.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.46%

49.53%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96%

38.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.19%

74.8%

Score Analysis

Bologna 54.43%

Parma 21.47%

Draw 24.08%

Bologna	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 11.84% 2-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.43%	1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.08%	0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.47%