Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Feb 27, 2022 at 2.05pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona

Hellas Verona
3 - 1
Venezia

Simeone (54', 63', 88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Okereke (81')
Caldara (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Venezia

Hellas will do the double over their neighbours from the lagoon, as their goal threat is just too much for Venezia to handle. Though a European place will most probably elude them, the hosts are back on an upward trajectory, and they can push forward freely on Sunday due to their visitors' failings in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Venezia
66.63%	19.33%	14.03%

Both teams to score 51.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.91%

42.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.5%

64.49%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.27%

11.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.13%

36.87%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58%

42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.56%

78.43%

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 66.62%

Venezia 14.03%

Draw 19.33%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Venezia
2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 7.01% 4-0 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.63% Total : 66.62%	1-1 @ 9.16% 0-0 @ 4.93% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.33%	0-1 @ 4.27% 1-2 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.03%