Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan1 - 0Udinese
We said: AC Milan 3-1 Udinese
Defensive doubts may always plague Paulo Fonseca's teams, but they often outscore more modest opposition - particularly on home turf. While, on current form, Udinese can compete with most Serie A sides on their day, Milan will ultimately wrap up maximum points and move above their visitors in the table. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Udinese |
64.5% ( -2.42) | 19.41% ( 0.63) | 16.09% ( 1.8) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( 2.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
