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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
68.73% ( -1.27) | 17.75% ( 0.75) | 13.51% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 55.52% ( -1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.23% ( -2.41) | 35.76% ( 2.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.16% ( -2.71) | 57.84% ( 2.71) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.55% ( -0.91) | 9.45% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.26% ( -2.2) | 31.74% ( 2.2) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.31% ( -0.85) | 38.69% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.57% ( -0.81) | 75.43% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.68) 3-0 @ 8% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.18) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.25) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.14) Other @ 4.39% Total : 68.73% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.75% | 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 13.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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