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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
30.1% | 22.7% | 47.19% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 63.85% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.26% ( 0) | 36.74% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.09% ( 0) | 58.9% ( -0) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( 0) | 23.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.76% ( 0) | 58.24% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.01% ( 0) | 15.99% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.69% ( 0) | 45.3% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 7.17% 1-0 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.83% Total : 30.1% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 2-2 @ 6.57% 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 9.2% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.62% 2-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 3.94% 1-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.81% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.77% Total : 47.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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