Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Norwich City |
50.1% | 25.86% | 24.04% |
Both teams to score 48.33% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.18% | 54.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.87% | 76.12% |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% | 21.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.81% | 55.19% |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.91% | 38.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% | 74.86% |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 12.67% 2-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.59% Total : 24.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |