MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:06:28| >> :600:759547:759547:
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 3
Leiston

Wraight (24')
Terry (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jackson (66'), Loza (108' pen., 120')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between AFC Hornchurch and Leiston.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leiston 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leiston 1-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Leiston had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Leiston win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%).

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawLeiston
44.5%23.87%31.63%
Both teams to score 60.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41%41.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01%63.99%
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.06%18.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.55%50.45%
Leiston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56%25.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74%60.26%
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 44.5%
    Leiston 31.63%
    Draw 23.87%
AFC HornchurchDrawLeiston
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-1 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.63%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Third Round Qualifying
Leiston
1-1
Hornchurch
Kyran (90+5')
Nash (56')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
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