National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hemps.2 - 2Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chippenham 3-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Farnborough
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
31.49% ( 0.13) | 23.82% ( 0.01) | 44.69% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 60.55% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.59% ( -0.01) | 41.41% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.19% ( -0.01) | 63.8% ( 0.01) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( 0.08) | 25.44% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( 0.11) | 60.26% ( -0.1) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.21% ( -0.06) | 18.79% ( 0.07) |