FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hive Stadium
Barnet4 - 0Chelmsford City
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Barnet and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnet 3-1 Boston
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Chelmsford City |
60.65% ( -0.09) | 20.88% ( 0.01) | 18.47% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
