MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 22:41:24| >> :600:560049:560049:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
4 - 1
Valerenga

Fox (2'), Foord (29'), Caldentey (85'), Russo (90+3')
Foord (67'), Codina (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tvedten (35')
Thorsnes (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Valerenga Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Chelsea
Saturday, October 12 at 1.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Valerenga 0-1 Juventus
Wednesday, October 9 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Chelsea103.33Reiten
2Brighton92.25Seike
3Spurs82.00Ahtinen
4Man City71.75Shaw
5Man Utd72.33Clinton
6Liverpool61.50Hobinger
7Arsenal41.00Maanum
8Aston Villa41.00Daly
9Crystal Palace20.50Blanchard
10West Ham20.50Denton
11Everton10.25
12Leicester10.25Rantala

We said: Arsenal Women 3-1 Valerenga Women

Arsenal may be short of confidence after failing to win any of their last three matches in all competitions, but they will still be favourites to get the better of Valerenga, and we think that they will live up to that tag by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Valerenga Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawValerenga Women
46.19% (0.201 0.2) 24.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 28.95% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 55.5% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (0.128 0.13)47.4% (-0.12799999999999 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.117 0.12)69.62% (-0.119 -0.12)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.14 0.14)20.58% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (0.221 0.22)53.11% (-0.221 -0.22)
Valerenga Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)30.13% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)66.27% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 46.19%
    Valerenga Women 28.95%
    Draw 24.85%
Arsenal WomenDrawValerenga Women
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 46.19%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.95%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Valerenga

Arsenal Women
80.9%
Draw
14.9%
Valerenga Women
4.3%
47
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
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4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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