Women's Champions League | Second Round | 1st Leg

Oct 11, 2023 at 7pm UK

Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Valerenga

(Real Madrid Femenino win 5-1 on aggregate)

Zornoza (4'), Galvez (44')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Karlsson (26')
Lofwenius (69'), Tompkins (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Second Round clash between Real Madrid Femenino and Valerenga Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid Femenino

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-1 Vllaznia
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid Femenino win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Valerenga Women had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid Femenino win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Valerenga Women win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid Femenino would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid Femenino	Draw	Valerenga Women
69.67% ( -0.01)	17.71% ( 0.01)	12.62% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.86% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.14% (

-0.02)

37.86% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.89% (

-0.02)

60.11% (

0.02)

Real Madrid Femenino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.22% (

-0)

9.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.48% (

-0.02)

32.53% (

0.02)

Valerenga Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.6% (

-0.01)

41.41% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.09% (

-0.01)

77.92% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid Femenino 69.67%

Valerenga Women 12.62%

Draw 17.71%

Real Madrid Femenino	Draw	Valerenga Women
2-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) Other @ 4.91% Total : 69.67%	1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.71%	1-2 @ 3.66% 0-1 @ 3.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.62%