MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 20:59:23| >> :60:22:22:
Nigeria national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2024 at 4pm UK
Teslim Balogun Stadium
Ghana national football team

Nigeria
2 - 1
Ghana

Dessers (38' pen.), Lookman (84')
Onyemaechi (20'), Collins (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Abdul Samed (37'), Lamptey (90+6')
Opoku (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Nigeria and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Nigeria 1-2 Ivory Coast
Sunday, February 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mozambique 2-2 Ghana
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Nigeria 1-1 Ghana

The spoils could be shared in Friday's derby as both sides are likely to employ caution rather than risk losing, even in a friendly. With recent changes in both dugouts it could take time for the managers to stamp their mark on their respective teams, so we're going for a draw in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
NigeriaDrawGhana
55.12% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 26.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 18.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.67% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.81% (-0.1 -0.1)60.19% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.62% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)80.38% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)22% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (-0.067 -0.07)55.31% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)46.58% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.83% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)82.16% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 55.11%
    Ghana 18.87%
    Draw 25.99%
NigeriaDrawGhana
1-0 @ 15.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 55.11%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 10.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 7.83% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.87%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Ghana

Nigeria
59.7%
Draw
21.0%
Ghana
19.4%
62
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2022 6pm
Third Round 2nd Leg
Nigeria
1-1
Ghana
Troost-Ekong (22' pen.)
Shehu (89')
Partey (10')
Amartey (26'), Afena-Gyan (84'), Partey (84'), Wollacott (90+3')
Mar 25, 2022 7.30pm
Third Round 1st Leg
Ghana
0-0
Nigeria
Djiku (62')
Etebo (77')
Jan 29, 2014 6.30pm
Semi-Finals
Nigeria
0-0
Ghana
Ghana win 4-1 on penalties
Adusei (15'), Ainooson (45'), Opoku (62')
Adusei (64')
Feb 10, 2013 6pm
rhs 2.0
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