We said: Nigeria 1-1 Ghana
The spoils could be shared in Friday's derby as both sides are likely to employ caution rather than risk losing, even in a friendly.
With recent changes in both dugouts it could take time for the managers to stamp their mark on their respective teams, so we're going for a draw in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.