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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals
Feb 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Angola national football team

Nigeria
1 - 0
Angola

Lookman (41')
Bassey (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gaspar (71'), Mabululu (71'), Gelson (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Nigeria 2-0 Cameroon
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Angola

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Angola 3-0 Namibia
Saturday, January 27 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Nigeria 2-1 Angola

 Friday should pose the sternest test to Nigeria's watertight backline, with Angola capable of hurting the West African nation in different ways. Peseiro's men are expected to concede, but they should have enough at the other end to defeat the exciting Palancas Negras. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Angola had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
NigeriaDrawAngola
59.82%24.73%15.45%
Both teams to score 39.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.72%60.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.55%80.45%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85%20.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58%52.42%
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.94%51.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.62%85.37%
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 59.81%
    Angola 15.45%
    Draw 24.72%
NigeriaDrawAngola
1-0 @ 16.47%
2-0 @ 13.2%
2-1 @ 8.88%
3-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 4.74%
4-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 59.81%
1-1 @ 11.07%
0-0 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 3.72%
0-2 @ 2.32%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 15.45%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Angola

Nigeria
86.2%
Angola
13.8%
181
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2018 4.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Nigeria
2-1
Angola
Okpotu (92'), Okechukwu (109')
Atuloma (12'), Okoro (28')
Va (56')
Va (15'), Carneiro (65')
rhs 2.0
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