MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 15:31:49| >> :60:106:106:
Mali national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 9pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Nigeria national football team

Mali
2 - 0
Nigeria

Bilal Toure (18'), Doumbia (87')
Samassa (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Collins (90+1'), Collins (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Mali and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Mauritania
Friday, March 22 at 10pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Ghana
Friday, March 22 at 4pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mali 1-2 Nigeria

Nigeria have a superior team going into this match, especially due to the fact that Mali are without some of their best legs. With the Super Eagles playing without pressure, we think they will edge this game due to their quality in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 50.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
MaliDrawNigeria
50.08% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 25.95% (-0.18 -0.18) 23.97% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 48.04% (0.632 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (0.763 0.76)55.18% (-0.76300000000001 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (0.624 0.62)76.42% (-0.624 -0.62)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (0.346 0.35)22.08% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56% (0.52 0.52)55.43% (-0.52 -0.52)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.65% (0.54000000000001 0.54)38.35% (-0.54 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.89% (0.513 0.51)75.1% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Mali 50.08%
    Nigeria 23.98%
    Draw 25.94%
MaliDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 12.79% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 9.66% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.068 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 50.08%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 23.98%

How you voted: Mali vs Nigeria

Mali
28.6%
Draw
7.1%
Nigeria
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2014 7pm
Group Stage
Mali
2-1
Nigeria
Sissoko (18'), Traore (50')
Doumbia (61')
Salami (54')
rhs 2.0
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