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Mauritius national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
 

Mauritius
2 - 1
Eswatini

Gaspard (17'), Rose (43')
Langue (65'), Ferre (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Junior Magagula (66')
Mkhonta (50'), Dlamini (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mauritius and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Libya 2-1 Mauritius
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Angola 1-0 Eswatini
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Mauritius 1-1 Eswatini

With the teams struggling heading into this one, both will view Tuesday's contest as a perfect opportunity to get themselves back on track. However, we are backing a share of the spoils come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
MauritiusDrawEswatini
30.08% (-0.332 -0.33) 29.24% (-0.112 -0.11) 40.68% (0.44600000000001 0.45)
Both teams to score 43.23% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.64% (0.27 0.27)63.36% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.28% (0.192 0.19)82.73% (-0.191 -0.19)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.29% (-0.106 -0.11)37.71% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51% (-0.105 -0.11)74.49% (0.10600000000001 0.11)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (0.39400000000001 0.39)30.59% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (0.467 0.47)66.83% (-0.467 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Mauritius 30.08%
    Eswatini 40.67%
    Draw 29.23%
MauritiusDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 6.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 30.08%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.53% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.23%
0-1 @ 13.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.2% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 40.67%

How you voted: Mauritius vs Eswatini

Mauritius
53.1%
Draw
24.5%
Eswatini
22.4%
49
Head to Head
Jul 6, 2022 1pm
Group Stage
Mauritius
0-3
Eswatini

Sarah (88')
Mkhonta (9' pen.), Mamba (76'), Ndzinisa (85')
rhs 2.0
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