MX23RW : Thursday, December 19 01:16:49| >> :600:1111412:1111412:
Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Somalia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi

Somalia
0 - 3
Eswatini

FT(HT: 0-2)
Figuaredo (33'), Ndzinisa (45+4'), Thwala (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Somalia and Eswatini, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Somalia

Last Game: Somalia 0-1 Uganda
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Eswatini

Last Game: Eswatini 0-2 Cape Verde
Tuesday, November 21 at 2.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Somalia 0-2 Eswatini

 While both these sides reside in the lower echelons of the region's rankings, Eswatini have played significantly more football in recent times and have managed a few notable results, including holding Burkina Faso and South Africa to draws while beating Namibia all within the last year. We feel they will be too good for Somalia in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 77.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Somalia had a probability of 6.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.85%) and 0-3 (12.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Somalia win it was 1-0 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eswatini would win this match.

Result
SomaliaDrawEswatini
6.69% (0.443 0.44) 15.55% (0.704 0.7) 77.76% (-1.144 -1.14)
Both teams to score 36.09% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-1.327 -1.33)46.8% (1.328 1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-1.254 -1.25)69.06% (1.256 1.26)
Somalia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.15% (0.454 0.45)59.85% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.42% (0.231 0.23)90.57% (-0.229 -0.23)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.9% (-0.62 -0.62)10.1% (0.623 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.74% (-1.448 -1.45)33.25% (1.449 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Somalia 6.69%
    Eswatini 77.75%
    Draw 15.55%
SomaliaDrawEswatini
1-0 @ 3.1% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 1.83% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 6.69%
1-1 @ 7.11% (0.304 0.3)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 2.09% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 15.55%
0-2 @ 15.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 13.85% (0.39 0.39)
0-3 @ 12.14% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.131 0.13)
0-4 @ 6.96% (-0.383 -0.38)
1-3 @ 6.23% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.57% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-5 @ 3.19% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-5 @ 1.64% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
0-6 @ 1.22% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 77.75%

How you voted: Somalia vs Eswatini

Somalia
41.4%
Draw
6.9%
Eswatini
51.7%
29
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!