Nations League | League A
Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bozsik Stadion
Israel1 - 2Italy
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Israel and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Monday's UEFA Nations League clash with Israel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 3-1 Israel
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
We said: Israel 0-2 Italy
Buoyed by their feats in France, new-look Italy should take care of business against an Israel side short of international nous and experience. Moving onto six points from a possible six would put the Azzurri in a strong position ahead of next month's clash with Belgium in Rome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Israel had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Israel | Draw | Italy |
34.59% ( 0.05) | 26.42% ( 0.22) | 38.99% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.89% ( -0.91) | 52.1% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.17% ( -0.79) | 73.82% ( 0.78) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.41) | 28.71% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.46% ( -0.51) | 64.53% ( 0.51) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.57) | 26.14% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.78% ( -0.76) | 61.21% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
Israel 34.59%
Italy 38.98%
Draw 26.41%
| Israel | Draw | Italy |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.98% |
How you voted: Israel vs Italy
Israel
12.6%Draw
6.3%Italy
81.0%253
Form Guide
