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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Belgium national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion
Israel national football team

Belgium
3 - 1
Israel

De Bruyne (21', 52' pen.), Tielemans (48')
De Bruyne (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Castagne (36' og.)
Abu Fani (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Belgium and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium

All competitions
Last Game: France 1-0 Belgium
Monday, July 1 at 5pm in European Championship

Israel

All competitions
Last Game: Belarus 0-4 Israel
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

We said: Belgium 2-0 Israel

 Without home support, Belgium should go through the motions and secure maximum points, despite lacking their all-time top scorer and world-class goalkeeper: outside of major tournaments, the Red Devils tend to be ruthlessly efficient. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Israel had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Israel win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawIsrael
60.39% (-0.868 -0.87) 22.24% (0.296 0.3) 17.38% (0.572 0.57)
Both teams to score 49.46% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.63% (-0.297 -0.3)48.38% (0.298 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49% (-0.272 -0.27)70.52% (0.273 0.27)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (-0.387 -0.39)15.59% (0.385 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.44% (-0.72 -0.72)44.56% (0.721 0.72)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.6% (0.528 0.53)41.4% (-0.528 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.09% (0.464 0.46)77.91% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 60.37%
    Israel 17.38%
    Draw 22.23%
BelgiumDrawIsrael
1-0 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.14% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 60.37%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.079 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.23%
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 17.38%

How you voted: Belgium vs Israel

Belgium
85.9%
Draw
9.0%
Israel
5.1%
177
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Belgium
3-1
Israel
Mertens (64'), De Bruyne (78'), Hazard (84')
De Bruyne (32'), Vertonghen (45')
Hemed (88')
Rikan (76')
> Match Report
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Israel
0-1
Belgium

Dgani (17'), Yeini (54'), Rafaelov (88')
Felliani (9')
Kompany (11'), Alderweireld (18'), Lombaerts (75')
Kompany (64')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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