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Brighton logo
FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Grimsby Town

Brighton
5 - 0
Grimsby Town

Undav (6'), Ferguson (51', 70'), March (82'), Mitoma (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion thrashed Grimsby Town 5-0 at the Amex Stadium on Sunday to reach the FA Cup semi-finals, as the League Two visitors were denied making history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 11.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawGrimsby Town
69.66% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 18.62% (0.0030000000000001 0) 11.71% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.68% (0.45200000000001 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (0.355 0.35)44.47% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (0.343 0.34)66.84% (-0.343 -0.34)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (0.060000000000002 0.06)11.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (0.133 0.13)36.58% (-0.133 -0.13)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.81% (0.476 0.48)47.19% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37% (0.354 0.35)82.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 69.66%
    Grimsby Town 11.71%
    Draw 18.62%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawGrimsby Town
2-0 @ 12.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.33% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 11.71%

How you voted: Brighton vs Grimsby Town

Brighton & Hove Albion
67.7%
Draw
9.7%
Grimsby Town
22.6%
31
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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