Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.