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Brighton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Manchester City logo

Brighton
1 - 4
Man City

Mac Allister (81' pen.)
Moder (63'), Lallana (70')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gundogan (13'), Foden (28', 31'), Mahrez (90+5')
Walker (22'), Cancelo (60'), Ederson (84')

Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Manchester City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Third meets fourth in the Premier League at the Amex Stadium on Saturday, as Brighton & Hove Albion play host to Manchester City on the South Coast.

The Seagulls were held to a goalless stalemate by basement side Norwich City last time out, while the champions eased to a comprehensive 2-0 success over Burnley.


Match preview

Brighton & Hove Albion manager Graham Potter celebrates after the match against Burnley on August 14, 2021© Reuters

While it may be too early to determine whether Brighton's fast start to the season is slowly petering out, the Seagulls' dominance has turned to draws in recent weeks, the latest of which came against bottom-of-the-table Norwich City.

Despite bossing the ball with 65% possession and firing seven shots on target, there was no way through for Graham Potter's men at Carrow Road, with that result representing their third one-pointer in a row following previous stalemates with Crystal Palace and Arsenal.

However, with 11 points from the last 15 on offer under their belts during a five-game unbeaten league run, the high-flying Seagulls remain in the top four of the rankings, although they are now only above Tottenham Hotspur on goal difference.

Brighton may have only chalked up eight goals at the correct end of the pitch so far - the fewest out of any side in the top half - but only Chelsea and City have shipped fewer than their five at the other end, as Potter's well-coached side finally produce the results that their performances have so often warranted.

The Seagulls have also suffered just one defeat in their last nine Premier League battles on home soil, but with a league-high 22 yellow cards already this term, indiscipline could prove fatal against the rampant champions.

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola reacts on October 16, 2021© Reuters

Continuing their surge up the rankings following the international break, Man City barely needed to get out of second gear to sink Burnley at the Etihad last time out, with Bernardo Silva and Kevin De Bruyne both making the net ripple on home soil in gameweek eight.

Pep Guardiola's side were expected to face a much sterner test against Club Brugge in the Champions League, but the Belgian champions' resilience was broken in a storming 5-1 win for the English champions, although that result was overshadowed by reports of a Man City supporter being hospitalised after an attack following the game.

On the pitch, Man City have certainly consigned their opening-day defeat to Tottenham Hotspur to history - taking 17 points from the last 21 on offer in the division - and they now occupy third spot in the rankings behind Liverpool and leaders Chelsea.

With only three goals conceded - all of which have come on the road - City's defensive record is unsurprisingly the joint-best alongside Chelsea, although the travelling party will need no reminding of what happened during their most recent trip to the Amex.

Indeed, Brighton marched to a remarkable 3-2 win on the South Coast after recovering from going two goals behind back in May, although City have won the other seven Premier League meetings between the two teams and have never failed to score more than twice at the Amex in that time.

Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Brighton & Hove Albion form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Manchester City Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Manchester City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Manchester City's Ferran Torres celebrates scoring against Wycombe Wanderers on September 21, 2021© Reuters

Brighton defender Adam Webster has an "outside chance" of being passed fit for this encounter, but Danny Welbeck and Steven Alzate remain absent for the Seagulls.

Yves Bissouma ought to be pushing for a recall to the side after shaking off a minor issue to make the bench against Norwich, while Tariq Lamptey replaced Joel Veltman after 59 minutes last time out and will hope to force his way back into the side here.

Despite a lack of ruthlessness against Norwich, Potter is unlikely to consider altering the Neal Maupay-Leandro Trossard connection in the final third.

Meanwhile, striker Ferran Torres remains City's only injury absentee as he recovers from his foot fracture, but Guardiola otherwise has bountiful options for rotation on the South Coast.

John Stones remains a slight doubt after missing the Brugge win due to personal reasons, though, and Guardiola may elect to save the bulk of his changes for their midweek EFL Cup battle with West Ham United.

Phil Foden can look forward to another start at the forefront of the attack if that is the case, but Gabriel Jesus and Ilkay Gundogan will hope to force their way back into the XI regardless.

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Sanchez; Dunk, Duffy, Burn; Veltman, Gross, Bissouma, Lallana, Cucurella; Maupay, Trossard

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Walker, Dias, Laporte, Cancelo; Silva, Rodri, De Bruyne; Mahrez, Foden, Grealish


SM words green background

We say: Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 Manchester City

Amassing just one goal in three games before the visit of the champions does not exactly spell success for this Brighton side, but their strong start to the campaign means that they still command plenty of respect.

City fans cannot travel South expecting a second five-goal drubbing of the week, but Guardiola's side should still get the job done with a professional performance on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Brighton vs Man City

Brighton & Hove Albion
15.1%
Draw
13.7%
Manchester City
71.2%
292
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Manchester City's players celebrate after scoring against Wycombe Wanderers on September 21, 2021
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