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EFL Cup
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Manchester City logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Man City

Isak (53')
Guimaraes (69'), Tonali (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Akanji (65'), Phillips (66'), Guardiola (78')

The Match

Match Report

Alexander Isak nets a second-half winner as Newcastle United condemn Manchester City to a third-round exit in the EFL Cup.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup showdown with Newcastle at St James' Park.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-8 Newcastle
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Manchester City

All competitions
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
28.64% (-0.243 -0.24) 24.38% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 46.99% (0.205 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (-0.322 -0.32)45.47% (0.326 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (-0.308 -0.31)67.81% (0.313 0.31)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (-0.33399999999999 -0.33)29.36% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (-0.414 -0.41)65.34% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)19.46% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)51.31% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 28.64%
    Manchester City 46.99%
    Draw 24.38%
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 28.64%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.65% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.99%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Man City

Newcastle United
22.2%
Draw
9.5%
Manchester City
68.3%
189
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
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> Preview
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
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> Preview
Dec 19, 2021 2pm
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> Preview
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155
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