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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Brighton logo

Newcastle
0 - 1
Brighton


Burn (10'), Hall (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Welbeck (35')
Ayari (45'), Hinshelwood (71')

The Match

Match Report

Danny Welbeck scores the only goal of the game before being stretchered off with an apparent serious injury as Brighton & Hove Albion conquer Newcastle United 1-0.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Newcastle United could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-0 Newcastle
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-2 Spurs
Sunday, October 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
43.04% (0.647 0.65) 22.66% (0.117 0.12) 34.3% (-0.766 -0.77)
Both teams to score 66.02% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.28% (-0.794 -0.79)34.72% (0.793 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.32% (-0.896 -0.9)56.68% (0.893 0.89)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)16.77% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (-0.119 -0.12)46.71% (0.117 0.12)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.751 -0.75)20.68% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (-1.196 -1.2)53.27% (1.193 1.19)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 43.04%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 34.3%
    Draw 22.66%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.115 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.19% (0.235 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.046 0.05)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 43.04%
1-1 @ 9.76% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.87% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.47% (0.139 0.14)
3-3 @ 2.15% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.095 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 34.3%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Brighton

Newcastle United
57.0%
Draw
22.7%
Brighton & Hove Albion
20.3%
207
Head to Head
May 11, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Newcastle
1-1
Brighton
Longstaff (45+5')
Hall (79'), Barnes (88'), Almiron (90+3')
Veltman (18')
Gilmour (45+4'), Enciso (54'), Welbeck (77'), Baker-Boatiey (90+5')
> Match Report
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Brighton
3-1
Newcastle
Ferguson (27', 65', 70')
Lamptey (83'), Milner (86'), Dahoud (90+5'), Lallana (90+8')
Wilson (90+2')
Gordon (23'), Schar (43'), Targett (68'), Burn (76')
> Match Report
Jul 29, 2023 12.30am
Club Friendlies
Brighton
1-2
Newcastle
Welbeck (49')
Paul van Hecke (64')
Anderson (86', 90')
Guimaraes (30'), Pope (74')
> Preview
May 18, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Newcastle
4-1
Brighton
Undav (22' og.), Burn (45+4'), Wilson (89'), Guimaraes (90+1')
Guimaraes (30'), Schar (45+3')
Undav (51')
Undav (45+2'), Gross (57'), Mac Allister (64'), Paul van Hecke (80')
> Match Report
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Brighton
0-0
Newcastle
Mac Allister (34'), March (58')
Saint-Maximin (22'), Joelinton (58'), Schar (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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