Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.