Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for York City had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
53.05% ( 0.27) | 23.82% ( 0.13) | 23.12% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% ( -0.98) | 47.55% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( -0.91) | 69.76% ( 0.91) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( -0.26) | 17.87% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.36% ( -0.45) | 48.64% ( 0.46) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.1% ( -0.9) | 34.9% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.36% ( -0.96) | 71.64% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.05% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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