Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.