Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.