Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.