Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.