Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Druids win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Druids win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
