Connah's Quay1 - 0Haverfordwest
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 7.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 78.69% | 13.73% | 7.58% |
| Both teams to score 47.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.58% | 34.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.65% | 56.35% |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.03% | 6.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.46% | 25.54% |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.03% | 48.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.07% | 83.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-0 @ 12.11% 3-0 @ 10.75% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 7.68% 4-0 @ 7.16% 4-1 @ 5.11% 5-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.74% 5-1 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.83% 6-0 @ 1.69% 6-1 @ 1.21% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.15% Total : 78.69% | 1-1 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 3.41% 2-2 @ 3.09% Other @ 0.74% Total : 13.73% | 0-1 @ 2.44% 1-2 @ 2.32% Other @ 2.82% Total : 7.58% |
Jones (24'), Keetch (69'), Fawcett (70'), (89')
