Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth0 - 3Pen-y-Bont
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pen-y-Bont.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 4-1 Barry
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 69.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 11.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.47%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
11.54% ( 0.02) | 18.95% ( 0.07) | 69.51% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.08% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.67% ( -0.24) | 46.32% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( -0.23) | 68.61% ( 0.23) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.33% ( -0.11) | 48.67% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.28% ( -0.08) | 83.72% ( 0.08) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( -0.1) | 12.17% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.19% ( -0.21) | 37.81% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Aberystwyth Town 11.54%
Pen-y-Bont 69.5%
Draw 18.95%
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 11.54% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 18.95% | 0-2 @ 13.13% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 69.5% |
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
5-1
Aberystwyth
Davies (13'), Borge (42'), Pritchard (61'), Walsh (83' og.), Venables (87')
Kircough (32'), Ware (80')
Kircough (32'), Ware (80')
Torry (32')
Apr 6, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Aberystwyth
Taylor (14'), Thorn (28' pen.)
Owen (41'), Thorn (71'), H (90+3')
Owen (41'), Thorn (71'), H (90+3')
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Thorn (90+3')
Owen (47')
Owen (47')
Reynolds (48', 59')
Kircough (83'), Evans (90+2')
Kircough (83'), Evans (90+2')
Form Guide
