We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Reading
Rotherham United will know that if they are to stand a chance of avoiding relegation this time around, they must be particularly resolute at home, and we see them grinding out an important first win at the weekend.
Reading arrive with a depleted squad, and Warne's men will see the contest as a good chance to take all three points and get off to a strong start.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.