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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough logo

Watford
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Kayembe (76'), Baah (87')
Cleverley (24'), Porteous (88'), Chakvetadze (90+5'), Baah (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edmundson (54')
Hackney (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 3-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough

Although Middlesbrough will be on a high from their win at West Brom, a second away test in quick succession may be a tough ask. With that in mind, we feel that Watford may edge this fixture by the odd goal in three, even with having less recovery time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
36.51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.79% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 37.69% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.94% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (0.299 0.3)49.27% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (0.268 0.27)71.32% (-0.267 -0.27)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.13799999999999 0.14)26.21% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (0.183 0.18)61.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.17699999999999 0.18)25.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.242 0.24)60.41% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Watford 36.51%
    Middlesbrough 37.69%
    Draw 25.79%
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 9.14% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.69%

How you voted: Watford vs Middlesbrough

Watford
48.9%
Draw
14.9%
Middlesbrough
36.2%
47
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Middlesbrough
3-1
Watford
Latte Lath (28'), Bangura (78'), Jones (84')
Azaz (33')
Hoedt (73')
Pollock (20')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Watford
2-3
Middlesbrough
Issouf Bayo (19'), Hoedt (52')
Porteous (40'), Sierralta (55')
McGree (5', 12'), Coburn (63')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Middlesbrough
2-0
Watford
Akpom (36'), Forss (45+3')
Aug 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-1
Middlesbrough
Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-1
Watford
Bolasie (78')
Sarr (32')
Chalobah (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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