EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7pm UK
Swansea City FC Youth Academy Training Centre
Swansea4 - 1Plymouth
The Match
Match Report
Three late goals from Morgan Whittaker - in the space of 12 minutes - put Russell Martin's side through.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Swansea City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 46.63% | 26.44% | 26.93% |
| Both teams to score 49.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.04% | 54.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.76% | 76.24% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% | 23.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% | 35.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.58% | 72.42% |
| Score Analysis |
Swansea City 46.63%
Plymouth Argyle 26.93%
Draw 26.43%
| Swansea City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.93% |
How you voted: Swansea vs Plymouth
Swansea City
83.9%Draw
8.6%Plymouth Argyle
7.5%93
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2021 7pm
Jul 27, 2014 5pm
Feb 16, 2010 3pm
Form Guide
