MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:37:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Deepdale
Leeds logo

Preston
2 - 1
Leeds

Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Preston
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Ipswich
Saturday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-4 Leeds United

While Preston may feel that they can play with a certain level of freedom on Boxing Day, that may not necessarily help them. Leeds appear to be building momentum, leading us to predict a comprehensive win for the Yorkshire giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
27.2% (-0.525 -0.53) 24.78% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 48.02% (0.598 0.6)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.16% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)70.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)31.82% (0.414 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (-0.477 -0.48)68.26% (0.47699999999999 0.48)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.244 0.24)20.1% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.391 0.39)52.35% (-0.39 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 27.2%
    Leeds United 48.02%
    Draw 24.78%
Preston North EndDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.23% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.04% (0.061 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.02% (0.039 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.77% (0.054 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 48.02%

How you voted: Preston vs Leeds

Preston North End
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Leeds United
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Preston
0-2
Leeds

Pearson (14'), Davies (45')
Pearson (49')
Bamford (62', 76')
Alioski (67'), Phillips (81')
Sep 18, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Preston
Cooper (37'), Roberts (74', 82')
Alioski (30')

Browne (26'), Johnson (52')
Aug 28, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
0-2
Preston

Roberts (59'), Klich (72'), Dallas (90')
Johnson (2' pen.), Barker (45')
Fisher (66'), Moult (71'), Browne (87'), Harrop (89'), Davies (90')
Ledson (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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