MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 05:13:34| >> :600:615002:615002:
Peterborough United
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Leeds logo

Peterborough
0 - 3
Leeds


Knight (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ampadu (34', 90'), Bamford (47')
Gnonto (39'), Ampadu (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Peterborough United 2-3 Leeds United

A bit of a bold prediction in terms of the scoreline, but we just fancy goals in this contest, with Leeds just coming out on top. Peterborough have so much quality in the advanced areas, and the same can also be said for Leeds, even if Farke, as is expected, rests some important players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawLeeds United
43.71% (0.232 0.23) 23.27% (0.113 0.11) 33.02% (-0.345 -0.34)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-0.558 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)38.15% (0.673 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (-0.721 -0.72)60.42% (0.72 0.72)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)17.88% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (-0.307 -0.31)48.66% (0.306 0.31)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.509 -0.51)22.97% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-0.756 -0.76)56.76% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 43.71%
    Leeds United 33.02%
    Draw 23.27%
Peterborough UnitedDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.186 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.131 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Leeds

Peterborough United
18.4%
Draw
12.2%
Leeds United
69.4%
49
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Peterborough
2-1
Leeds
Coulthirst (48', 65')
Mowatt (15')
Aug 25, 2012 3pm
Peterborough
1-2
Leeds
Bostwick (73')
Sinclair (28'), Zakuani (41'), Little (70'), Swanson (83')
Becchio (7', 50')
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Leeds
4-1
Peterborough
McCormack (47', 48'), Paynter (45', 73')

McCann (22'), Brisley (43')
Oct 22, 2011 12pm
Peterborough
2-3
Leeds
Zakuani (23'), Little (88')
Frecklington (31'), McCann (60')
Tomlin (37')
Clayton (54')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
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