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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
33.64% ( 0.21) | 24.96% ( 0.38) | 41.4% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 57.35% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.04% ( -1.7) | 45.96% ( 1.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.74% ( -1.62) | 68.26% ( 1.63) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% ( -0.69) | 26.33% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.54% ( -0.93) | 61.46% ( 0.93) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% ( -1) | 22.16% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.46% ( -1.53) | 55.55% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.25% Total : 33.64% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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